It ’s Thursday good afternoon , around three o’clock , in the oestrus of the summer . The weather sport a admixture of clouds and sunshine , accompanied by a brisk wind . Anyone familiar with the electricity market knows that hourly prices can dip below zero — and they are just about to do so . This presents a slap-up chance for purchase electricity , but could there be an even better option ?
" Yes " , pronounce Lars van Os of Dutcy company No - Nonsense Energieadvies . On the Dutch imbalance marketplace , price have fallen to minus 60 euros per megawatt 60 minutes for this quarter . This spotlight the complexity of the vim market and illustrates how Lars ’s consulting firm , which he initiate eighteen calendar month ago , can assist greenhouse gardening society in navigating these challenges .
Lars van Os
Fear of imbalanceAfter a fiscal education , Lars ' unintentionally ' ended up in the horticulture sector about six years ago . live on in Westland , the sector is ' in his affectionateness ' . At his first employer , he learn about short - term vigour trading and , at another consultancy house , long - term trading as well .
With his own company , found in April 2023 , he combines his knowledge of both industry . " mightily from the startle I had some great client . I ’m working on it 24/7 and I need to be , but it feels more like a avocation than work to me . "
Most of the body of work Lars does for horticulturist is focused on trading the shortsighted - term energy food market . Eighty percent of the time it is focused on trading on the imbalance market , Lars finds that horticulturists are rather " reluctant " to do so themselves .
" Whereas on the APX marketplace , prices this year diverge between -100 and +200 euro , the peaks and troughs on the imbalance market are much bigger . With low gear to -1000 and peaks to +2000 , there is a caboodle to gain , but also a lot to lose . "
progressively extremeElectricity prices vacillate well . received ' friendly ' clip like before the outbreak of the energy crisis , of 7.45 am and 4.15 pm , do n’t exist any longer . " The market is much more fickle , " he says . It bring in Lars have his mobile earphone and iPad with him at all times . " I can work anywhere , and I do . "
Lars work for minuscule nursery entrepreneurs who have their hand full with all their other job as well as for ' enceinte boys ' . " Seasun is one of my client . That ship’s company , with 63 hectare of glass , is a very nice one to get by the CHPs for . These variety of company also need an international specialist for CHP ascendance . If I do my job well , it always pays off . "
A few years back , when Lars took his first step in greenhouse horticulture , a plantsman could " still get forth reasonably well " with summation of up to 500 euros per megawatt hour and minuses of up to 50 euro . Over the preceding six years , thing changed . To show that diagrammatically , Lars often prove horticulturists an Excel sheet . " That shows how fast the marketplace has changed , " he say . " Showing this Excel is often decisive for horticulturists with whom I sit at the table . "
Graphical representation of the Excel showing that the energy marketplace has changed very quick in recent years . On the left field is datum from 2019 , and on the right is from 2023 . The browner , the lower the imbalance compare to the APX , and the greener the higher the dissymmetry compare to the APX . Enlargement of the in writing representation of the data is available , for2019and2023 .
Switching with CHPMany nursery entrepreneurs still trade exclusively on the APX market . They consider the unbalance market " bad " and that risk , there is , Lars acknowledges . " But after six year , I dare say I can toy the game well . That means you could also mark especially well on the imbalance marketplace , cater you are continuously serious about it like I am . "
Lars get hold that plantsman are sometimes hesitant when having their CHP controlled externally . They are afraid that it will be " ceaselessly flip on and off " . He contain it via the DNO box . Bidding is done once a day , in the morn . Then the setting for that 24-hour interval are also entered right away . " After that , I can always make some adjustment in the control , or intervene manually by switching something on or off before this was the planning . "
The latter , which happens regularly , but generally not more than once a day . " You should always be able-bodied to get by with rather two , but a upper limit of three switches day by day , I think . ordinarily once in the morning , once in the eventide , and then once more when emergency power is declared , for illustration . "
There is no incertitude that , irrespective of vim opportunity , cultivation always comes first . " Sometimes we also take our expiration by not turning a CHP on - off once , but that rarely happens . When there is heat need or CO2 demand for cultivation and a must - run place for culture , that always come first , at the expense of the Department of Energy trading final result . "
There have only been a few times in Lars ' career when a fourth shift was needed . " Then it ’s because parking brake big businessman was declared a second time on the same twenty-four hour period anyway . "
There are also the Intraday market and the Intraday+ , the congestion market , Lars lists . He also take those factors into account . All to achieve the tacky potential energy costs for a greenhouse farm . " I have been playing this game for about six years and because of this , you start to recognize patterns . Moreover , we have giga quantities of information that we compare with the aid of programme to get smart . "
Beating the grocery as well as humansTrading energy is a 24/7 occupation . On the Clarence Shepard Day Jr. of the consultation , 15 August , Lars say a position occurred that shows why this matter . At 11 am , the switching schedule of a CHP at a plantsman ’s web site was mechanically go down . Lars foretell , however , that unbalance Mary Leontyne Price would move up . In 15 mo the Leontyne Price change from 173 euros to 400 euro . " By manually running the CHP 30 min longer , this agriculturalist was still able to benefit from two overnice toll , " he says . Depending on how many megawatt hr of instal capacity the customer has , the amount can chop-chop add up .
Since the irruption of the energy crisis , enterpriser have become more aware of the extreme point in the vitality grocery . As a result , responding properly is still a challenge . " Not everyone realizes that a destiny of masses are thinking about direct energy systems . This sometimes results in masses anticipating , say , a storm that is fare , but at the moment suprême the exact paired happen . Gardeners test to beat the market , but you also have to ticktack all those people who are work on that guidance . "
Battery systemsOne of the most recent growing is the rise of barrage systems in the vim market . Just like every time a new engineering is introduce , it causes dislocation . " Anything new to the market can be called a disruptor . The explosion of battery power has put a dent in the market . "
On some day , it has made beneficial trading significantly more difficult , he explains . " One of the consequences of speedy charging and discharging of battery systems is that dual - sidedness occurs . That means that in 15 min , the damage can go very high , but also very low . That is disastrous for anyone purchase electricity or fertilize it back at that clip . If you bribe in , you automatically pay the highest price and if you feed in , you get the lowest price . You used to see this even on Laputan daylight , but now it is already so extreme that hours of both minus 1,000 and plus 1,800 euro go on . You ca n’t do anything with that at all . "
Still , Lars is positive about battery systems . " We decidedly postulate storage content . " Lars is also overconfident about heat heart . " In my view , that will be an important tool in the future . Flexibility is the magic parole for horticulturists to survive in the hereafter . "
ready tariffLars also help greenhouse horticulture caller with foresightful - term get-up-and-go trading . When he does so , he stick out alongside the raiser to buy gas and electrical energy from energy companies up to five years ahead . Or to sell , as that too has go on on occasion in recent years , he confirms .
Greenhouse growers who use the services of No - Nonsense Energieadvies compensate a fixed monthly pace that is index annually . The energy consultancy work with annual contracts , which always admit a two - calendar month probationary period . " I still work out with all the clients from the beginning . No node has quit in a year and a half . Recently , there was another entrepreneur who after two months was positively surprised by what can and does happen in the vigour market . "
It bring in Lars expect to continue represent the plot successfully in the service of the horticulturist for a foresightful time to fare . " CHP control will not presently be done purely with AI , I expect . human being are needed to count up all the nuances . The zip market is a market with feeling , and that tactual sensation can not be express in 0 ’s and 1 ’s . "
For more information : Lars van OsNo - Nonsense EnergieadviesTel : +31 ( 0)6 40 19 45 11[email protected]www.nnenergieadvies.nl
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